The cast of 'Sinners' accepts the Ensemble prize last night at the Actor Awards (Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images)
It was billed as the weekend that would settle the Oscar race: PGA Awards on Saturday, Actor Awards (formerly the SAGs) on Sunday.
The PGAs are one of the best Oscar predictors out there, matching Best Picture 13 of the last 16 years. That's partly because it uses ranked-choice voting, the same system the Academy uses for Best Picture, which tends to reward consensus picks over polarizing ones. The highlights:
- This year's top prize went to 'One Battle After Another,' further cementing it as the Oscar frontrunner. That's now Critics Choice, Golden Globes, DGA, BAFTA, and PGA. If this were a boxing match, they'd have stopped it by now.
- 'Adolescence' won limited series and its making-of special took Best Short Form. Even its making-of doc is collecting hardware at this point.
- Elsewhere, 'The Pitt' won drama, 'The Studio' took comedy, 'KPop Demon Hunters' got animated feature, and Stephen Colbert won for late night.
- See a complete list of winners here. 👈👀
Then Sunday’s Actor Awards told a different story…
The Actor Awards took place at the Shrine Auditorium, hosted by Kristen Bell and streamed live on Netflix.' Sinners' took the big prize, winning Ensemble and breaking 'OBAA's' winning streak. Michael B. Jordan also took Best Actor for his dual role, beating Timothée Chalamet and Leo DiCaprio. Some other wins:
- Sean Penn won Supporting Actor for 'OBAA' and Amy Madigan continued her Supporting Actress sweep for 'Weapons.'
- Jessie Buckley added another Best Actress win for 'Hamnet.' At this point, the Oscar is hers to lose.
- The late Catherine O'Hara won Best Actress in a Comedy Series for 'The Studio.' Co-star Seth Rogen accepted with a moving tribute. The show swept comedy with three wins.
- 'The Pitt' and 'Adolescence' did what they've been doing all season in drama and limited series. Harrison Ford received the Life Achievement Award.
- Full list of winners here. 👈👀
What it means for the Oscars:
'OBAA' has now won every major precursor this season. Historically, when a film runs the table like this at the precursors, it wins Best Picture. 'Sinners' got a late jolt from its Ensemble win and Jordan's Best Actor trophy, and actors are the Academy's largest voting bloc, which counts for a lot. But it feels like 'OBAA' would have to collapse for the crown to slip.
Looking ahead… Oscar voting is open now and closes Thursday, so ballots are being filled out as we speak. The WGA Awards ceremony was cancelled due to a staff union strike, so this weekend was effectively the last stop before Oscar night on March 15.
Do you think the results of the PGA and Actor Awards will affect the Oscars? Tell us your predictions in the comments.
